Tag Archive for boxing predictions may 20 to may 26

Fight Predictions for May 20 to May 26

Fight Predictions for May 20 to May 26

Date and Time (EST)

Event

Channel

May 24, 2012

Luis Concepcion vs. Odilon Zaleta (WBC Latino Flyweight Title)

Panama City, Panama

Panamanian “Arturo Gatti” lookalike Luis Concepcion looks to continue his winning ways on Thursday as he challenges 14-1 (7) Mexican Odilon Zaleta in Panama City.  Despite his respectable record, and his #26 boxrec.com ranking, Zaleta has yet to beat any fighter rated higher than #58.  Zaleta has decent hand speed, he covers well, and he switches stances fluidly, but he does have a tendency to go into a shell defensively, and against a high powered offense like Concepcion’s that may be a problem.  Concepcion (still a young 26) is a very active, exciting fighter whose only two losses in the past five years were suffered at the hands of divisional kingpin Hernan Marquez.  Their first fight was an absolute epic battle, and despite being TKO’d in both, Concepcion rebounded nicely with two first round KO victories of his own, over #43 ranked Manuel Vargas, and 147th rated Oscar Gallardo.  Concepcion is currently rated #16 according to boxrec.com and despite showing recent vulnerabilities in the chin department, he is still likely to beat all but the biggest punchers in the flyweight division.  The guy is a blast to watch (resembling Arturo in more than just looks) and I still think he is a top ten caliber fighter, who is capable of making another championship run.

(Concepcion by 7th round KO)

May 25, 2012

Silvio Olteanu vs. Giuseppe Lagana (EBU Flyweight Title)

Lazio, Italy

Flyweights Silvio Olteanu and Giuseppe Lagana are rated #55 and #88 by boxrec.com respectively; however, their meeting in Lazio, Italy this weekend involves the exchanging of an EBU title, so there is a tad bit more significance than usual.  Olteanu, the reigning champion, won the title with a split decision victory over Valery Yanchi in his native Spain last March, and in his first defense, he chose to fight Lagana in his Italian backyard.  Lagana is 40 years old with a record of 25-9-1 (9) and his best win in the past nine years was a technical decision over #132 rated Bernard Inom in his last outing.  Lagana did take a split decision from Luis Lazarte back in February of 2003, but that seems light years away from current relevance.  What is relevant is the fact that Olteanu has put together a string of solid performances against guys like Valery Yanchi, Wilbert Uicab, and Daiki Komeda, losing a majority decision to Uicab (who is currently rated 15th at flyweight) and losing a split decision to Komeda (who is currently rated #22 as a junior featherweight).   Olteanu is an active guy, always bouncing and hopping around the ring, and occasionally does well offensively, but he can be hit with regularity.  Still, he has never been knocked out, and he has proven himself against the much better opposition of late.  Obviously, any fight away from home is dangerous, but I think Olteanu has the experience and a slight advantage in youth to come away with the victory on the road.

(Olteanu by 9th round TKO)

May 25, 2012

Lee Selby vs. Patrick Okine (BBBofC/Commonwealth Featherweight Titles)

Newport, UK

BBBofC and Commonwealth featherweight titlist Lee Selby risks his hardware this weekend against Ghana native Patrick Okine.  Okine is 11-1-1 with 9 knockouts, he is rated #315 by boxrec.com (#1 among all other featherweights from Ghana), and he enters this bout riding a 7 fight win streak (against opponents with a combined record of 5-24).  He has been the 12 round distance two times, but his last 6 fights were scheduled 8-rounders, and this fight is his first ever outside of his native Ghana.  Lee Selby, on the other hand, is still relatively inexperienced himself (at 12-1 (4)) but he did manage a pair of decent wins against John Simpson and Stephen Smith in his last two outings.  Selby can punch with both hands accurately, he can come forward and make the fight, or he can box nicely from the outside, scoring points with his jab.  I know nothing is a certainty in this sport (Ashley Theophane comes to mind), but Selby seems to be the beneficiary of some favorable matchmaking in this one.

(Selby by unanimous decision)

May 25, 2012

Ji-Hoon Kim vs. Alisher Rahimov (Lightweights)

St. Charles, MO

Ji-Hoon Kim is a 25-year old from South Korea with a 23-7 (18) record and a boxrec.com rating of #36.  He is an extremely entertaining fighter to watch (based largely on his exceptional work rate) and after losing 5 of his first 13 fights, he has since won 15 out his last 17, losing only to 25th ranked Leonard Zappavigna and #1 rated Miguel Vazquez.  Kim doesn’t come with a lot of frills and tricks, but he works hard, has decent power, and he comes in head down with arms pumping.  His opponent, Alisher Rahimov, is a 34-year old, former 2000 Uzbekistan Olympian, who currently holds a #13 ranking.  He is 23-0 with 12 knockouts, and while still relatively inexperienced, has shown great promise since making his pro debut in 2004, taking a split decision over #16 rated Sergio Thompson in September of 2010.  He covers well, and provides little room to land, and he puts his punches together quickly and effectively on offense.  Sometimes he will lull you to sleep, but he is an accurate, quick puncher that is always dangerous.  This fight has the makings of an interesting (and hopefully exciting) matchup.  Kim seems to be fighting better than ever, and he enters as the more experienced and busier of the two.  While Rahimov, on the other hand, has the better pedigree and the sparkling record.  Ultimately, I think Kim will come forward and make the fight, but Rahimov, being well guarded, will not give him many opportunities to land, and instead will find more success of his own with accurate counter shots as Kim falls carelessly in. 

(Rahimov by closer than expected decision)

May 25, 2012

Fres Oquendo vs. Joey Abell (Heavyweights)

Hammond, IN

Granted, Fres Oquendo is no longer the heavyweight contender that he once was, and his career essentially ended in 2010 with a split decision loss to Oliver McCall; however, he is still a well known name in most boxing circles, and a draw for various reasons.  Oquendo, now 39 years old, is 33-7 with 21 knockouts, and while he is still rated in the top 50 (at #37), it is his historic connection to guys like David Tua, Chris Byrd, Evander Holyfield, and James Toney that still make people turn out to see him fight.  Standing opposite Oquendo in this fight is 31-year old Minnesota native Joey Abell, a fighter with a record of 28-5 including 27 wins by way of knockout.  Abell is rated 159th and he has managed to put together a nice little streak consisting of 8 wins in 9 tries (losing only to Chris Arreola by 1st round KO on a Friday Night Fight Telecast in January of last year), but his best win in that span, arguably, was against 151st rated Arron Lyons, an 11-8 fighter out of St. Paul.  In fact, the record of his last 8 opponents, prior to his fight with Arreola, was just 159-119-4 combined.  Abell is a big strong southpaw, and he had some success against Arreola for about the first minute and a half of their fight, but I think the skill set of Oquendo (even at an advanced age and post-prime) is still a notch above the club level.

(Oquendo by 5th round TKO)

May 26, 2012

Lucian Bute vs. Carl Froch (IBF Super Middleweight Title)

Nottinghamshire, UK

(Stay tuned for an in-depth analysis of the fight)

May 26, 2012

Carl Frampton vs. Raul Hirales (Jr. Featherweights)

Nottinghamshire, UK

Carl Frampton, the current Commonwealth Junior Featherweight champion, is 25-years old, undefeated at 13-0 (9), and rated #53 according to boxrec.com.  Frampton, AKA “the Jackal,” is trained by former featherweight champion Barry McGuigan, and every indication so far points to him being the real deal.  He has excellent hand speed, good reflexes, he can punch in combination and slip incoming shots; virtually everything you look for in an up and coming prospect.  His opponent, Raul Hirales is no slouch either, entering this fight with a near flawless 16-0-1 record and a boxrec.com rating of #50.  Hirales maintains a steady pace, he throws combinations well, and he too, keeps his hands high and his chin protected (although Charles Huerta was able to regularly shoot straights and 1-2’s between his guard).  I think this is a very good matchup, and it will give us a better idea of what Frampton is all about talent-wise.  So far, he has looked superb, but Hirales is tough enough and skilled enough to make him dig a little deeper than normal.  In the end, I think Hirales does a number of things very well, I just think Frampton does them a bit better, and over 12 rounds the differences will be apparent.

(Frampton by unanimous decision)

May 26, 2012

Pablo Cesar Cano vs. Fidel Monterrosa (Lightweights)

Cancun, Mexico

Pablo Cesar Cano burst onto the scene last September with a gutsy (losing) performance against Erik Morales on the Mayweather-Ortiz undercard.  Cano fought bravely, but was just overmatched against the seasoned veteran, ultimately losing by way of a 10th round stoppage.  Since then, Cano has won 1 fight (a 6th round stoppage of 16-1 Francisco Contreras) he has improved his record to 23-1-1 with 18 KO’s, and he has moved up to 59th on boxrec.com’s lightweight list.  His opponent is 23-year old, 29-5, Columbian/Mexican Fidel Monterrosa who has lost 2 out of his last 5 fights and 3 of his last 7, and has not beaten one fighter with a winning record in his last ten fights.  Monterrosa has, however, faced very good opposition, losing to guys like Humberto Soto (twice), Ali Chebah, and Claudio Olmedo, so there will be little in Cano’s arsenal that will be new to Monterrosa.   Having said that, Cano does have good hand speed and he is an accurate puncher from distance.  If he can keep Monterrosa at the end of his punches and prevent him from closing the distance than I think he will come away with the win in a close, action packed fight.      

(Cano by unanimous decision)

May 26, 2012

Audley Harrison vs. Ali Adams (Heavyweights)

Brentwood, England

Feel free to not watch, but former British amateur standout (and professional disappointment) Audley Harrison takes to the ring once again this weekend after a year and a half layoff.  The last time we saw Harrison he was getting pounded into submission by David Haye, back in November of 2010, and having landed one punch in the entire 2 and a half rounds, it is still not for certain whether Harrison’s effort was on the up and up.  Nevertheless, he is back again, this time challenging little known 13-3-1 Chelsea fighter, and Iraq-born Ali Adams.  Adams is 30-years old, he is rated #214, and only 1 of his 13 wins came against an opponent with a winning record.  Still, Adams has only lost 1 time going back to October of 2008 (a period of 14 fights) and he did make it to the quarter final of the Prizefighter tournament back in October of 2010.  Harrison should win this fight easy, but it is difficult to predict what is going through his mind these days.  Talent-wise there is a huge discrepancy here, but factoring in grey matter, anything is certainly possible.

(Harrison by inglorious decision)

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