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Fight Predictions for May 6 to May 12

Fight Predictions for May 6 to May 12

Date and Time (EST)



May 11, 2012

Yudel Jhonson vs. Willie Nelson (Jr. Middleweights)


2004 Cuban Silver Medalist Yudel Jhonson headlines the ShoBox card this Friday from Las Vegas, taking on 17-1-1 Cleveland native Willie Nelson.  Nelson, a good amateur prior to 2006, is a tall, rangy, fighter with good enough boxing skills to draw comparisons to a young Mark Breland.  Currently he is rated #66 according to and his only loss thus far was to 52ndranked Vincent Arroyo back in April of last year.  While Nelson was a very good regional amateur, Yudel Jhonson was an exceptional Olympic caliber fighter, fighting the likes of Daniel Geale and Erislandy Lara before turning pro.  In his 12 professional fights he has yet to face any real competition, but he has proven to be a very solid, technical fighter who uses the ring well, jabs well, and defends well.  He does have a tendency to fight too defensively, however, picking his shots and not always delivering on the offensive end, and if Willie stays active he can have success if he chooses to make it a dogfight; but he must be careful because Jhonson is very accurate and his punches will likely be a bit straighter.  I think Nelson may surprise a lot of people (many of whom are not giving him much of a chance in this fight), but ultimately, the superior skills and competency of Jhonson will “always be on Willie’s mind.”

(Jhonson by lackluster unanimous decision)

May 11, 2012

Alexander Alekseev vs. Firat Arslan (European Cruiserweight Title)

Goppingen, Germany

Alexander Alekseev is a 31-year old cruiserweight from Uzbekistan (now fighting out of Germany) with a 23-2 (20) record and a rating of #10.  Alekseev has won 4 fights in a row since being stopped in the second round by Denis Lebedev back in July of 2010, and his best win to date came in his last fight against 32ndranked Enad Licina.  Alekseev was also an excellent amateur, losing to Odlanier Solis in the 2004 Olympic Games.His opponent is Firat Arslan, a 41-year old from Germany with a record 32-5-1 (21) and a rating of #26.  Arslan has been in tough, losing only to Steve Herelius and Guillermo Jones since December of 2003.  He is a tough fighter, but since July of 2010 he has fought only 10 total rounds (winning by TKO in 2, 3, and 5 rounds) all against modest opposition.  I think Arslan will pressure Alekseev and win some rounds by virtue of his determination, and if Alekseev hasn’t corrected his vulnerability to the southpaw left hook than he could be in trouble again.  Ultimately, however, I think the youth, speed, and strength of Alekseev will be the deciding factors.  Alekseev had nearly worked his way into a matchup with Marco Huck before his knockout loss to Lebedev, but since then he has won 4 in a row, and seems to be ready once again to make a run at the top.

(Alekseev by unanimous decision)

May 12, 2012

Brian Viloria vs. Omar Nino (WBO Flyweight Title)

Pasig City, Philippines

(Stay tuned for an in-depth analysis of the fight)

May 12, 2012

Julio Cesar Miranda vs. Rodel Mayol (Flyweights)

Pasig City, Philippines

We have an interesting matchup in the 112 pound division this weekend as #15 ranked Julio Cesar Miranda takes on 29thrated Rodel Mayol in Pasig City, Philippines.  Miranda, 37-6-1 with 29 knockouts, has won 7 out of his last 8 fights, losing only to Brian Viloria by close decision in July of last year.  He is an EXTREMELY aggressive fighter that uses lots of pressure to put his opponents into uncomfortable territory, and he is a good puncher (as evidenced by his 29 knockouts in 37 wins).  Opposite Miranda is the Filipino Veteran Rodel Mayol who comes into the fight with a record of 30-5-2 (22) and the winner of his last 4.  Going back to 2006, Mayol’s only losses have come against Omar Nino, Ivan Calderon, Adrian Hernandez and Ulises Solis, and his only official stoppage loss came against Hernandez in February of 2008.  Mayol has fast hands (faster than Miranda’s) and he moves in and out well.  Fighting for a chance to get back to championship status, in front of his hometown crowd, Mayol will certainly be motivated and difficult to beat.  I think this will be an excellent, action-packed affair and one that could easily go either way.  Ultimately, however, I think Miranda’s high volume attack, his relentless pressure, his power, and his excellent showing against Brian Viloria 10 months ago  “force” me into leaning towards a late round stoppage in his favor (assuming a clash of heads doesn’t end it sooner).    

(Miranda by 9th round TKO)

May 12, 2012

Vicente Escobedo vs. Juan Ruiz (Jr. Lightweights)

Woodland, CA

Despite his #4 ranking according to and a 25-3 (15) record, the 30-year old Vicente Escobedo is still considered by many to be a “contender in the making.” He has won his last 3 fights in a row, and his only two losses going back to 2007 came against Michael Katsidis and Robert Guerrero, however, his bid to obtain his first major world title has thus far eluded him.  Escobedo moves well, he defends well, he has a cracking jab, and he appears to be a legitimate multi faceted fighter.  His opponent in this fight (33-year old Juan Ruiz) is 23-9 with 7 knockouts, and rated an abysmal 214th out of 1307 junior lightweights according to  He has lost 4 fights in a row,  7 out of his last 8, and has only won one time going back to May of 2006 (a 6thround stoppage of Wayne McCullough).  Ruiz is a very tough kid who will definitely give a good effort, but I can’t foresee any scenario in which he can win.  The fight is being televised on Telefutura, so for those in the viewing area it may be worth tuning in simply to formulate your own opinion on whether Escobedo is truly deserving of his status as a top five junior lightweight, and gauge his successes going forward.

(Escobedo by unanimous decision)

May 12, 2012

Zaurbek Baysangurov vs. Michel Soro (WBO Jr. Middleweight Title)

Brovari, Ukraine

Zaubek Baysangurov is a 27-year old junior middleweight from Russia with a 26-1 record (20) and a rating of #18.  He was KO’d by Cornelius Bundrage back in December of 2008; however, since then he has won 7 fights in a row, including a respectable 12 round decision over Eromosele Albert in August of 2009.  His best win to date, however, came in a lopsided decision against Marco Antonio Rubio in just his 15thprofessional fight.  In that contest, Baysangurov proved that he can stand and trade (utilizing good bodywork and uppercuts on the inside), he can box well behind a good jab and a high guard, and he can switch seamlessly from orthodox to southpaw.  In this fight, Baysangurov will need every one of those skills to defeat a very gifted and athletic boxer from France named Michel Soro.  Soro is 22 years old, he is 18-0 with 11 knockouts, and he is currently rated #54 according to  From the limited clips I have seen, the kid looks very quick and elusive, and reminds me somewhat of an orthodox Zab Judah, with a sprinkle of Hassan N’Dam N’Jikam thrown in for good measure.  Factoring in very modest regional competition, it may be difficult to think a kid with limited experience can go to the Ukraine and come away with the win, but for my upset pick of the week, I think he is good enough to do just that.  If he can take Baysangurov’s power, then he is capable of stealing rounds with his high octane offense and pleasing style.

(Soro by majority decision)

May 12, 2012

Gennady Golovkin vs. Makoto Fuchigami (WBA Middleweight Title)

Brovari, Ukraine

Gennady Golovkin is a 30-year old, former 2004 Silver Medalist, and current WBA middleweight champion from Kazakhstan with a record of 22-0 with 19 knockouts.  He is a good “pocket type” fighter who can roll his shoulder and land a sneaky right hand.  While not terribly fast or explosive offensively, Golovkin is very technically sound and makes few mistakes.  In his 4th defense he faces 15thrated Makoto Fuchigami, a 28-year old southpaw from Japan with a record of 19-6 (10).  Fuchigami is a wild swinging brawler with an exciting, but technically deficient style.  He is a tough guy (he hasn’t been stopped since September of 2005), but he punches wide and carries his hands low, which is a recipe for disaster against the more efficient, counter punching Golovkin.  I think when the fight heats up, Golovkin will find Fuchigami very easy to hit, and by the middle to late rounds the “target practice” will result in an early stoppage victory for the undefeated champion.

(Golovkin by 7th round TKO)

May 12, 2012

Logan Cotton McGuiness vs. Meacher Major (Jr. Lightweights)

Mississauga, Canada

Logan Cotton McGuiness is an undefeated junior lightweight from Canada with 16 wins, no losses, 1 draw, and 8 knockouts.  He is a well conditioned ball of fury that fights at a fast pace and works well both upstairs and downstairs.  He is still relatively inexperienced (despite the fact that he is already rated #25 according to but he is generating a lot of buzz in the Great White North.  His opponent in this fight, Meacher Major, is a 30-year old, fighting out of Buffalo, New York with a 20-4-1 (17) record and a rating of #171.  Major has won 4 fights in a row, but they were against fighters with a combined record of 44-89-9.  I hate to make a judgment call about a guy I know little about, but this fight certainly has the feel of a mismatch.  I think McGuiness is ready for bigger and better things, but his people must be overly concerned about duplicating the fate of fellow Canadian prospect David Lemieux, for them to allow McGuiness to be brought along too quickly.

(McGuiness by 3rd round KO)

May 12, 2012

Juan Carlos Sanchez Jr. vs. Juan Alberto Rosas (IBF Super Flyweight Title)

Tepic, Mexico

Juan Carlos Sanchez, the current IBF Junior Bantamweight champion, is a 21-year old from Mexico with a record of 13-1-1 (7) and a rating of #15.  He is a slick southpaw with good boxing skills, and despite his relative lack of experience, he did deal losses to two top 30 ranked fighters in recent succession.  His opponent in this fight, Juan Alberto Rosas, is a 27-year old veteran who brings a record of 36-6 with 27 knockouts, and a rating of #9.  Rosas has fought everyone in and around 115 pounds, and he has won 4 fights in a row, including a close decision over #22 ranked Zolani Tete in his last outing.  This is an interesting matchup, as Rosas will be bringing plenty of pressure, and Sanchez will look to create space and utilize his jab and boxing ability.  It is a question of who can successfully implement their game plan.  After watching Rosas against Cristian Mijares, I think Sanchez has a good chance of duplicating Mijares’ winning performance if he avoids exchanging and plays the role of matador to Rosas’ bullish charges.

(Sanchez by unanimous decision)