Archive for boxing predictions for april 8 to april 14

Brandon Rios-Richard Abril Preview

Brandon Rios vs. Richard Abril

(WBA “interim” Lightweight Title)

12 Rounds, Las Vegas, NV, April 21, 2012 (HBO PPV)

Brandon Rios, one of the most exciting and controversial figures in the sport of boxing today, takes on a tough Cuban challenger, Richard Abril, for WBA “interim” lightweight honors this Saturday in Las Vegas.  Since October of 2008, Rios has won 10 of 11 fights by knockout, he has pushed his undefeated record to 29-0-1 (22), and he has earned a spot just below Juan Manuel Marquez as the worlds 2nd best lightweight according to Ring Magazine.  The guys hits and gets hit, and his boisterous attitude and press conference antics have made him a source of major fascination to fight fans all over the world.  

This Saturday, Rios faces Richard Abril, a Cuban with a record of 17-2-1, including 8 knockouts, and a boxrec.com ranking of #10.  Abril has won five fights in a row, including an impressive decision victory over Miguel Acosta in his last fight, and the only two blemishes on his record to date were split decision nods to Breidis Prescott and Hank Lundy in 2008 and 2010 respectively. 

If hatred between two fighters has anything to do with the making of an entertaining fight (and is there anyone out there Brandon Rios doesn’t hate?) than this one certainly has all the components of a scorcher.  These two have already traded barbs at the press conference, and there demeanor towards one another has been anything but civil.  It should be a good one, so if you find yourself in a “pay per view mood,” then tune in to watch Brandon Rios and Richard Abril settle their personal dispute in a “civilized” way.

Brandon Rios

29-0-1 (22)

 

Richard Abril

17-2-1 (8)

A

Opposition & Experience

B+

A

Punch Output

B

B+

Boxing Ability & Intangibles

B

A+

Aggression

B-

A

Power

C

B

Hand Speed

B+

C

Defense

B+

A

Chin

A

B+

Conditioning

B+

B+

Punch Accuracy

B

The Break Down

Brandon Rios is an extremely aggressive fighter, with excellent stamina, punching power, and resiliency.  If you stand directly in front of him (as John Murray did in his last fight) you are assured to get the beat down of a lifetime.  In fact, getting knocked out early (as Urbano Antillon did) may be a much better option than taking round after round of punishment (as John Murray did).  Rios throws a tremendous amount of punches (over 1000 in his last fight), and while he does not overwhelm with blazing hand speed, his systematic, relentless attack is usually enough to wear his opponents down by fights’ end.  In addition, he is an accurate puncher (landing 37% against Murray) and he is capable of carrying power well into the later rounds.  If he presses the action and doesn’t give Abril room to breathe he will be tough to beat.

For Abril, movement is key.  He has a three inch height advantage, and if can make use of his long, rangy jab, he may be able to create the space needed to land his straight rights.  He is the faster of the two, and his defense is better than average, so by playing to these strengths and circling and countering, he can increase his chances of not getting drawn into a war; because if the heat gets turned up, then Abril will resort to throwing looping, wide punches as he did against Daniel Rosas, and if he does, Rios definitely has the power to end things early.

Conclusion

In this fight you have Rios’ aggression, experience, power, and accuracy against Abril’s defense and hand speed.  Depending on which strategy Abril chooses to employ, he will either be beaten thoroughly over twelve rounds, or he will be beaten narrowly over twelve rounds.  I don’t see how hand speed and defense alone will be able to keep Rios at bay, particularly after Rios has declared psychological warfare.  Rios is a loose cannon who knows how to play head games with the best of them, and I think Abril will have a hard time matching him in either skill or crazy.

In my opinion, the only way to beat Brandon Rios is to use every available inch of ring space, throw lightening fast combinations, and disappear before he has a chance to come looking for you.  It also helps to be incredibly talented.  Yuriorkis Gamboa is capable pulling off such a game plan.  Unfortunately, I don’t think Richard Abril is.

(Rios by 8th round TKO)

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